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- Vancarbon commented 51 min ago
It started well before Biden , try Bernanke
- Vancarbon commented 1 hr 31 min ago
Wait for the revision
- Vancarbon commented 5 hr ago
European equities have priced in ultra low interest rates and EPS growth for the next 5 years , that’s provided inflation doesn’t increase and geopolitics plays its part. This at a time when European economies are in a technical recession. Cuckoo ...
- Vancarbon commented 5 hr ago
This strong correlation between utilization and delinquencies indicates that looking at maxed-out borrowers is useful for gaining some insight into where new delinquencies are headed.
- Vancarbon commented 5 hr ago
Wage slaves - to the banks
- Vancarbon commented 5 hr ago
Yes , I think you’ve mentioned it. More than once , almost daily for 5 months.
- Vancarbon commented May 12, 2024
It maybe the case he’s young and inexperienced . It doesn’t detract that there’s a widening gap from a two tier system ( used to be three) which is only going to worsen if we continue on the same tired policies Fresh lateral thinking required . It’s ...
- Vancarbon commented May 4, 2024
The market clutching at straws again if they believe a September cut is on the cards. Inflation rising and a slightly weaker overall reading doesn’t warrant their prediction , it simply means the holding pattern of rates at current levels. If a cut ...
- Vancarbon commented Apr 30, 2024
It’s a bit of a bitch this transitory inflation , isn’t it.
- Vancarbon commented Apr 30, 2024
If Israel go into Rafah watch oil fly , gold fly and equities tank . It's on hold now due to the US negotiating between the two sides for hostage release . If this fails then watch for a similar scenario as last time with Iran involved .
- Vancarbon commented Apr 28, 2024
Pullback this week for sure. How far is anyone’s guess. I would suggest a good retest of the 155 area before any further push higher. The last two paragraphs sums it up. While being short the Japanese currency at current levels is risky, bearish ...
- Vancarbon commented Apr 6, 2024
The one thing they were controlling was energy . Oil has since risen 20% and that’s a massive inflationary influence, the freight charges haven’t been fed into the pipeline yet and there’s so many more to come.
- Vancarbon commented Apr 6, 2024
Yes , the Fed folded too soon and are now quickly back tracking. It’s been evident to most of us for months if you follow the data. They should have crushed it while they had the chance. Hard to put the genie back in the bottle .
- Vancarbon commented Mar 28, 2024
It should. I’m concentrating on equities at the moment. There’s some cracking opportunities for returns on the sell side This is a window dressing exercise for the books at the end of first quarter. Good luck- beer calling
- Vancarbon commented Mar 28, 2024
Look at the Dax . The long term predicted return of the dax is less than 2.5 % annulaised , if you factor iin taxes , you’re looking at average 1.7% return - Now look at the level of the market
- Vancarbon commented Mar 22, 2024
It’s a PR exercise for the media. A “ nothing burger “ , to show the Fed care and are in tune with the “ common man “ I’m having lunch with Vladimir next week , he’s probably more in tune with his population than the Fed . I’ll bring a doggy bag ...
- Vancarbon commented Mar 22, 2024
Fed listens : To its masters
- Vancarbon commented Mar 12, 2024
With this, and with Core Services ex-shelter (“Supercore”) at +0.47% m/m – which means supercore accelerated to +4.3% y/y – it is inconceivable that the Fed will yet consider cutting rates. It is possible that they may later in the year, but there ...
- Vancarbon commented Feb 24, 2024
I disagree . Firstly mine is only an opinion , as is yours and the guy above who is obviously talking his book and vested interests to use this narrative, standard practice in the markets . The markets have front run projected scenarios and ...
- Vancarbon commented Feb 16, 2024
There’s something quite sinister in their tone and rhetoric. Their mandate is clear , yet despite what’s in front of them on the consistently of the data not abating they continue with the same old narrative. It’s lie after lie If they weren’t ...