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Leveraged Funds Help Push Mexican Peso Back to Top Currency Spot
Leveraged funds have been the main force behind the recent Mexican peso rally, propelling it to again become the best performing currency in the world this year. The group, which is composed mostly of hedge funds, increased its net long peso positions by 3,780 contracts between May 7 and May 14, according to the latest available derivatives data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. It was the first bullish week for the group in more than a month, which helped the peso to strengthen toward its year-to-date high at 16.2616 per dollar. Institutional assets managers, which hold the biggest bullish position in ... (full story)
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post: Fed’s Jefferson: Important Not to Focus on Just One Data Point post: FED'S JEFFERSON: THE LABOR MARKET HAS BEEN QUITE RESILIENT. post: FED'S JEFFERSON: IT IS POSSIBLE TO HAVE CONTINUED JOB GROWTH WHILE DISINFLATION CONTINUES. post: FED'S JEFFERSON: IT IS APPROPRIATE TO RETURN TO A MORE NORMAL BALANCE SHEET.
May has so far brought a weak dollar, strong risk sentiment, and growing expectations for Federal Reserve easing. A data-gripped market may, however, need to find the next ...
Thank you, Mark, for the kind introduction, and good morning to all of you.1 I am happy to be here. Today, I will do three things. First, I'll share with you my current outlook for the US economy. Second, I'll discuss my thinking on the current stance of monetary policy. Third, I'll review the dynamics of housing prices which can feed into the persistence of inflation. My focus on housing price dynamic stems from the role housing plays in the American economy. For most families, a home is their largest-ever purchase and their most valuable asset. Capital markets professionals in real estate finance, like you, are crucial to the smooth operation of the housing sector. Families making housing decisions rely on a healthy and productive housing finance sector. The housing sector is also one of the most interest rate–sensitive sectors of the economy. As such, it's an important channel of monetary policy transmission. Understanding the various channels of monetary transmission is crucial to fulfillment of the dual mandate given to the Federal Reserve by the Congress: maximum employment and stable prices. This mandate guides my thinking about monetary policymaking. With that, I'll turn to my outlook for the US economy. Aggregate Economic Activity The U.S. economy continues to grow at a solid pace. Adjusted for inflation, GDP was reported to have increased at a 1.6 percent annual rate in the first quarter of 2024. That was a moderation from a 3.4 percent expansion in the fourth quarter of last year. However, private domestic final purchases—which excludes inventory investment, government spending, and net exports and usually sends a clearer signal on underlying demand—grew 3.1 percent in the first quarter. That was about as strong as the second half of 2023. post: Fed's Jefferson: Policy Rate is in Restrictive Territory Jefferson: April’s Better Inflation Reading is Encouraging Jefferson: Long-Term Inflation Expectations Show Americans Believe Fed Will Make Good on 2% Inflation Goal
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It’s no exaggeration to say that this week’s UK inflation data will make or break a June rate cut from the Bank of England. Markets are pricing a 58% chance of that happening, at ...
San Francisco Fed president Mary Daly told Axios on Friday that it's not clear whether inflation is definitively receding and there is no "urgency" to adjust interest rates. Why it matters: Inflation cooled for the first time in 2024 last month, relieving economists that progress might not have stalled out. But one month of data has not convinced Fed officials that price pressures are evaporating in a way that puts near-term interest rates back on the table. What they're saying: "Fortunately, policy is in a very good place. We are in what I call the ready position," Daly told Axios at the University of San Francisco. "We can adjust policy as we need to." • Earlier this month, the Fed acknowledged signs that progress on inflation had stalled. That's raised questions about whether decades-high interest rates might need to be pushed up further to wrestle inflation down. post: FED'S DALY: I AM NOT YET CONFIDENT INFLATION COMING DOWN SUSTAINABLY TO 2%. post: FED'S DALY: I EXPECT IMPROVEMENT IN SHELTER INFLATION, JUST NOT RAPIDLY.
The sudden death of Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi has the world asking who’ll eventually replace him as the Islamic Republic’s de-facto no. 2. For now, that job falls to ...
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- Posted: May 20, 2024 11:08am
- Submitted by:Category: Fundamental AnalysisComments: 0 / Views: 1,905