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- Broke replied Nov 24, 2017
I don't mind quotes from wikipedia, I just don't see how that is relevant. Did you actually follow the links you quoted? From the first one: "The course begins with simple random walk and the analysis of gambling games. This material is used to ...
- Broke replied Nov 24, 2017
That's nice. Here's something I'd like to know: the first casino was established in Venice in 16something. If I'm the only idiot who can't gain an edge over a random process, why are there today so many casinos all over the world, and most of them ...
- Broke replied Nov 24, 2017
Don't take all my "random" literally, of course I didn't mean to say that markets are random (that nobel prize already went to somebody else). It's just that for me, with limited information and limited knowledge, price movements are in large parts ...
- Broke replied Nov 22, 2017
It's a renko chart. Without the time component, you don't get "signals" on a chart that just chops back and forth anymore, but you also lose the idea of how far / how fast if you can't watch it all the time, because the time component is missing. ...
- Broke replied Nov 22, 2017
Yes I already watched everything from Tom he ever put on Youtube, love that guy! And his bad language, it's nearly as bad as mine
- Broke replied Nov 22, 2017
Yes. Maybe. Or not. I don't work in this industry, I have no inside knowledge about anything. I can tell when a number series starts to deviate from what you would expect from random data, that's all. And that's definitely not my own invention, I ...
- Broke replied Nov 21, 2017
Inconclusive: the x-axis seems to be not really important. image It's 10 pips between the grey lines, plenty enough to make some $ even considering spread, comm, special broker features. When I grow up, I want to be able to do this on a 20 pip ...
- Broke replied Nov 21, 2017
I sure wish I read that whole post, and not only #22, before I started digging on my own... but maybe I wouldn't have been able to really appreciate it. Awesome post, kudos.
- Broke replied Nov 21, 2017
If you say that a bunch of numbers need to carry information before it can be called "data", point taken.
- Broke replied Nov 18, 2017
Yes. And how would they look like if you started them 1 minute / 17 minutes / 3.5 hours ago or last Thursday? Different. This is one of the low hanging fruit and huge timesavers you can take away from this thread: candlesticks don't mean shit.
- Broke replied Nov 18, 2017
Oh come on now. Nobody cares how many magic calls you made - I can send you a whole 200MB PDF that shows clearly I'm fucking Gandalf and can not only predict but make the future. I can not only remember the high in cable, I can also remember the not ...
- Broke replied Nov 18, 2017
I hope I didn't give the impression that was a "buy at the blue dots, sell at the orange dots" kind of deal. I'm pretty sure that wouldn't be fun at all. The dots just mark places where I think random gets weak and something else might take over. ...
- Broke replied Nov 18, 2017
Back on topic: the higher edge within a single candlestick. (BTW, why "higher"? Higher than what exactly?) I've been secretely stalking these single candlestick threads from the start, without really knowing why. I mean, a candlestick is just 4 ...
- Broke replied Nov 18, 2017
It sure sounds nice, but it doesn't have any meaning if you don't define the trade conditions first. For example: No scaling in or out, TP 1pip + Spread, SL NA -> 126 winners in a row isn't a problem, but ultimately it's still a fool's game. Same ...
- Broke replied Sep 23, 2017
There's a name for that, it's called "fat tails". Very hard to build something solid with +ev around it. Maybe think about what else you can do with the limited information you have available?
- Broke replied Sep 23, 2017
Fun fact: the exact same ratio exists in random data. Can also be written as: in up bars, O-L = 25%, O-H = 75%. In down bars, O-H = 25% and O-L = 75%. On average, of course. $ ./barstats.pl GBPUSD1440.csv Count: 1100 Avg: uoh: 0.00963 uol: 0.00314 ...
- Broke replied Jun 5, 2017
Nope. Seriously. You never count your money, when you're sitting at the table, there'll be time enough for countin', when the dealin's done. video (Here's a bit of meta game for you: why would you listen to absolutely sound, sensible advice from ...
- Broke replied May 31, 2017
Huh? It doesn't work like that? How am I supposed to trade properly if the damn market just ignores my R:R planning? It's after the fact for me. I put in a target at 3:1 or 2:1 just like a stop, simply because a) so I get out if I get ...
- Broke replied May 30, 2017
It's always the same old question, all the way from -x to +nx: Should I stay or should I go? I have for this week so far 6 losers, 2 BE, 1 winner with my default 3:1 and two winners with 8:1 and 6:1. That's net +11 "units", which is nice, but ...
- Broke replied May 29, 2017
You could join one of these $97/month "live trading rooms" that spam post educational videos on YT - non-stop sitcom for only $3 a day is pretty cheap entertainment... Seriously: I think it's a nice problem to have. If I had it, I'd probably just ...