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- vinta.reddy commented Sep 20, 2023
Its time for stock markets to align with FED projections on delayed cuts and sticky inflation. I am afraid inflation will be very sticky to achieve 2%, stock market will find a way to grow keeping economy activity strong. It seems the markets are ...
- vinta.reddy commented Aug 23, 2023
Raising income, high inflation, already high interest rates along with downturn economic activity is a nightmare for BOE. Not sure what is a way out for BOE.
- vinta.reddy commented Aug 23, 2023
UK numbers are also Bad. UK has much more to do on inflation and rates are already high. BOE's job must be the hardest of all central banks.
- vinta.reddy commented Aug 23, 2023
Outlook getting clearer. EUR, China, GB to show economic struggle along with sticky inflation. Hard landing in play. USA towards soft landing. Strong dollar to be well supported this year.
- vinta.reddy commented Jul 31, 2023
Is Core CPI going up by 0.1% since last 2 months? Its the energy which is contributing to lower CPI numbers while others have gone up. I thought this means fight against inflation is on from ECB and higher tick in EURUSD. or is it economic ...
- vinta.reddy commented Jul 24, 2023
Looks like ECB done with raising rates after this week. ECB will have tough time convincing that they are hawkish.
- vinta.reddy commented Jul 11, 2023
Mixed data (average earnings increased which is inflationary) while others are showing deterioration of economic conditions. I feel BOE needs to keep raising rates to bring down high inflation. However every increase in rates will put a nail to ...
- vinta.reddy commented Jul 5, 2023
Intervention will only wipe off speculative and retailers who are long for few 100-200 pips. Big players are settling for a levels of 150.00 considering the rate differential of FED and BOJ. So any intervention by BOJ will be a buying Oppurtunity. ...
- vinta.reddy commented Jun 16, 2023
WOW, Yield curve control (a unanimous vote), Inflation expectations moving sideways after heightening but will come down and economy is improving. Very daring view. Japan has imported inflation and when FOMC and ECB are forecasting higher ...
- vinta.reddy commented Jun 13, 2023
Unfortunately or fortunately that's a reality. US will slowly lose its status as a global powerhouse and so will its King Dollar status. Muscular use of sanctions, deteriorating US economy, failed foreign policy, Political instability etc. will only ...
- vinta.reddy commented Jun 13, 2023
I am looking at Core CPI m/m. forecasts have been on dot since last 4/5 times though.
- vinta.reddy commented Jun 13, 2023
Not much for GBP as the strong labour data and expected 25% basis point increase by BOE is already baked in. Its all about FED rate decision tomorrow which will give a clear direction to all pairs. Incase CPI is red hot (my expectation) a skip and ...
- vinta.reddy commented Jun 12, 2023
Sticky inflation and strong labor market needs a .25 raise. FED always said. "Not doing enough is more dangerous than over tightening". BOC and BOA have shown a path.
- vinta.reddy commented May 30, 2023
Its position squaring and repositioning by traders like us. Big investors are waiting for a policy change from BOJ. why would BOJ intervene and say.
- vinta.reddy commented May 30, 2023
Not sure how USD will react to Debt ceiling agreement. I understand its going to be a compromise between limiting spending and increasing taxation. Some part seems to be inflationary while other is dis-inflationary. Not sure if FED policy tightening ...
- vinta.reddy commented May 30, 2023
Just look at the massive shorts added for JPY. Market is clear to show BOJ on its divergent policy. 142500 on.
- vinta.reddy commented May 24, 2023
Economics aside and as a trader, I see from the data that the peak of inflation is behind. The trend is downwards. Its also clear that the reduction is slow and also it seems across all countries the inflation is very strictly. Hence a target of 2% ...
- vinta.reddy commented May 24, 2023
Its a good report. Inflation has fallen (from 10.1 to 8.7). Inflation trend is downward. It did not meet consensus (8.2). GBPUSD can now resume its bearish trend slowly. GBPUSD trend now depends on USD.
- vinta.reddy commented May 11, 2023
How much more Bullish can BOE sound to get bulls take the market higher than 1.27. for USD all worst factors are already factored. Todays BOE rate hike by 0.25% and data dependent strategy along with sticky inflation and fast decorating economy ...