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- Alfie replied Jan 2, 2012
I too have been trying for years .. the 1-hour timeframe lends itself to some good analysis .. check it against the 4-hour, mainly to see if there's a valid range to confirm current trend .. but what I like best is then doing business on the ...
diary of my descent to madness...
- Alfie replied Jan 1, 2012
Krunfx, it is good of you to reply to my question, but you are speaking in riddles. elsewhere, you have stated that the Yen should be weaker .. so why isn't it? it is actually firming vs the Dollar. I know this is an old-fashioned view, but to me a ...
USD/JPY Discussion
- Alfie replied Dec 31, 2011
please pardon my ignorance, but doesn't a weak USD/JPY show strength not weakness of the Jap currency? I have asked myself that question in the past: the USD/CHF moves in unison, but the /JPY is something of a maverick.
USD/JPY Discussion
- Alfie replied Jan 15, 2011
is that a 4-hour U-Cad you are posting there? looking at the daily .. hard to tell if it's time to buy .. they are cheap is the only thing.
USDCAD trend reversal?
- Alfie replied Jan 6, 2011
Some experts see a lot of weakness in the E-U - based on eurozone fundamentals, but also T/A - following on down from 1.3400 not long ago.
EURUSD
- Alfie replied Jan 2, 2011
all of which brings me back to a question I have raised at various times .. all these rhythmic swings whatever you want to call them .. projections into the future, geometric waves & counterwaves .. are they really able to anticipate, to allow for ...
Andrews Pitchfork (Median Line)
- Alfie replied Jan 2, 2011
on the H4 .. tells a different story .. bullish all of a sudden .. or is that just my imagination? anyway, why trade on Low-volume & directionless MACD?
Andrews Pitchfork (Median Line)
- Alfie replied Jan 2, 2011
this is the C-J on H1 .. bearish is right .. going to try same with H4, N.B. all my charts are overloaded like a Xmas tree .. gives me false sense of security.
Andrews Pitchfork (Median Line)
- Alfie replied Jan 2, 2011
thank you Narafa .. in any case, both of them have settled into comfortable middle-age .. for the time being. a quote: VIX readings of 50 or higher are associated with near-to-intermediate term market bottoms, and VXN readings of 70 or higher with ...
Put/call vs Volatility
- Alfie replied Jan 2, 2011
can I see anything at this point in time? .. allowing for wildly divergent opening on tuesday .. just for theoretical discussion. here we have a long-handled fork .. although I prefer to wait until about 3 or 4 candles from the last zig-zag point .. ...
Andrews Pitchfork (Median Line)
- Alfie replied Jan 2, 2011
this one is a different story .. using the very long handle method & entering when volume & momentum are picking up .. would have been a very pretty trade.
Andrews Pitchfork (Median Line)
- Alfie replied Jan 2, 2011
on this chart, going back to where I have put the red arrow .. working from zig-zag (thin white) I would have created a fork .. BUT it's got the shorter handle referred to in preceding post. so what happened after that? expecting Down .. volume low, ...
Andrews Pitchfork (Median Line)
- Alfie replied Jan 2, 2011
just wondering has anyone else made the same observation: that it is better to use a fork with a long handle .. i.e. where 1-2 is longer than 2-3 .. because you get narrower channels to work inside of. otherwise you end up with these wide ...
Andrews Pitchfork (Median Line)
- Put/call vs VolatilityStarted Dec 16, 2010|Trading Discussion|3 replies
I am posting this chart because it strikes me as unusual .. put/call very high, while the ...
- Alfie replied Dec 14, 2010
herewith my pitchfork(s) for N-U .. I might add that I have only just done them now, well after the event .. but the fact remains: they would have worked! as can be seen, I use Zig-zag for the key-points .. & I like to do a fork about half a dozen ...
Andrews Pitchfork (Median Line)
- Alfie replied Dec 10, 2010
one thing I have learnt .. from experience I might add .. is that there has to be some Volume .. even it's only increasing from low. firstly, because it provides hope of acceleration = Dynamics secondly, it supports/ underlines whatever your theory ...
USD/JPY Discussion
- Alfie replied Dec 10, 2010
Thanks again guys .. sure as heck didn't expect to get that much super intelligent advice in response to one sneaky post .. appreciate it very much it'll take me a while to absorb all that wisdom .. oh well, I asked for it! a case of: Back to the ...
USD/JPY Discussion
- Alfie replied Dec 10, 2010
we've lost track of the original question: how to counter-act the capricious unpredictable moodswings of the dollar? I got out of the U-J short because I didn't trust the sucker .. & not a minute too soon .. look at it now! without warning, went ...
USD/JPY Discussion
- Alfie replied Dec 10, 2010
and thank you too Fosking .. supply & demand .. trendlines .. keep it simple .. ok will have to give it a go.
USD/JPY Discussion
- Alfie replied Dec 10, 2010
thank you George and U-B for wise comments. a trend of its own .. that might be the relevant thing to look for. A Dominant Trend .. hmmmm! .. fluctuations within such dom-trend .. learn to ignore the USD .. sufficient confidence might enable .. have ...
USD/JPY Discussion