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- juao replied Apr 4, 2007
Placing an order ten minutes ahead of nfp will most probably result in a loser and maybe a winner, if not two losers. 10 seconds before news release should do. The pre news movement is pretty strong during npf minutes. /Juao
Good Friday NFP
- juao replied Mar 27, 2007
There is one major reason why the US will not attack the Iran It's not that they don't have allies or should be afraid of other Gulf countries. The reason is that the US lacks money. Look at the current account. US securities would lose some worth ...
Gulf War Charts
- juao replied Mar 26, 2007
There is no such thing as bias and trend. There is only news and market reactions. FX Market is a SPOT MARKET. That's why there is no trend or bias. Sorry to say. Of course certain players are biased and thus form a certain trend since they tend to ...
FX News Trading For The Week Of 3/25
- juao replied Mar 26, 2007
The fear was that the market could dry out. That may not come true. Prices fall as a reaction of excess supply as usually. Prices should fall back to the equilibrium. As for the moment, worst fears may not come true. Fed's policy change will ...
Subprime Worries
- juao replied Mar 20, 2007
This is just a sign that the market has not yet bottomed out in terms of prices of existing houses since it still appears cheaper to build than to buy. It is not just the number of sold houses that we should look at, it is much more important to see ...
Subprime Worries
- juao replied Mar 20, 2007
X I gotta disagree with a few of your points Juao- If all of a sudden a few hedge funds borrow a few billion Yen and convert them to another currency-we are gonna see some movement on our charts-the Yen will have decreased. And there's plenty of Yen ...
Subprime Worries
- juao replied Mar 19, 2007
It is not true, that a supply increase is created. If you look at the money supply figuers ( for example monetary basis OR M3 as usual ) u will find a decrease. YES there is a lot of Japes Yen in the market, or rather with the BANKS, BUT it is not ...
Subprime Worries
- juao replied Mar 16, 2007
inverted yield curve. reason for that ? there are tons of reasons. I don't want to upset anyone and since I know, that the majority of the forum's readers are Americans, I will not go into details, since this could cause upset people. That, I don't ...
Today's news - I don't get it!
- juao replied Mar 16, 2007
Highly disagree. No Carry Trades unwinding so far. Recent gains in Yen Pairs came due to accounting measures. Today's CPI news was relatively unspectacular. A downwards revision to -0.3 % explains why a 1% rise did not move the USD that much. At the ...
Today's news - I don't get it!
- juao replied Mar 16, 2007
Core CPI is at an expected rate of 0.2 which is low already, I don't think, well see much of an ease off on inflationary pressure for the consumer. I personally dont think, cpi will have an great impact on the market. More closely to be watched ... ...
US CPI
- Do you GBP/JPY ?Started Mar 16, 2007|Trading Discussion|2 replies
Does anyone of you fellow traders trade GB news or JP news on that pair ? It offers great chances ...
- juao replied Mar 15, 2007
Everything that happened, was expected and priced in before. We will not see much movement in future, as SNB will not likely raise interest rate more often than ECB ( ECB should be raising two more times to 4.25% ) so the gap will not narrow, ...
Swiss National Bank Interest Rate Decision - March 15, 2007
- juao replied Mar 12, 2007
One general answer would be .. As long as there is no inflationary pressure SNB is poised to keep rates on hold. I think your question points towards expected volatility on the day of the decision, well ... Switzerland is still quite an important ...
Swiss National Bank Interest Rate Decision - March 15, 2007
- juao replied Mar 9, 2007
First of all, markets where clearly being long before the release. The attention this month's adp report drew ( not so much being transformed into price action) set the stage. Now that the numbers came in cable went straight down 50 pips. What more ...
NFP March 9
- juao replied Jan 24, 2007
With the BoE being at the end of the rate hiking cycle, Cable should drop further especially after those meeting minutes. Durable goods may come in strong due to big ticket items but however the number we should look at is the ex transport number. ...
US Durable Goods Jan 26
- juao replied Dec 21, 2006
The reason behind this is that the GDP does not really tell the investor anything substantially new, since gdp basically `includes or consists of` data that has been released before like retail sales factory production and so on. GDP is more of a ...
CAD retail sales & GDP
- juao replied Dec 14, 2006
Some analysts believe Fed is up for another rate hike .. who knows right now.
GBP/USD is establishing new 1.88 - 1.99/2 channel?