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- The Fool commented 8 hr ago
I was just making an observation, not celebrating anything.
- The Fool commented 24 hr ago
The scrotus gift to Trump was enabling his delay. All he has to do now is win in November. Biden is just one mumblefuck display away from ensuring that.
- The Fool replied 28 hr ago
entered the 2-wk diagonal as shown, holding off on tail hedge long calls. If SPX moves up, I will use proceeds from this trade to roll up the Aug call condor.... image
- The Fool replied Jun 30, 2024
well, in consideration of a big dose of uncertainty being thrown into the mix for the US elections, it'd be worth a shot for some bearish trades in the next week. Usual lotto ticket stuff... image
- The Fool replied Jun 30, 2024
Kind of a weird week with Jul04 holiday and the following Friday bound to be very thin volume. But, lots of econ data, FOMC minutes, and NFP Friday. Red candles last week was some quarter-end booking, and I'd tend to agree stocks will want to ...
- The Fool replied Jun 30, 2024
weird truncated week coming up, but with lots of heavy Fed/econ data....FOMC minutes and NFP on the dead Friday after July 4. I will look for credit diagonals into the following week. I can't do anything long delta with puts... image
- The Fool replied Jun 29, 2024
yes, cashed the bull puts and rolled the calls out 50dte to Aug opex, Aug16 @ 5625/5650, which is about 28 delta. I sold some bull puts @ 15 delta, 5225/5200, but held off on some in hopes of some bear follow through Monday. @ that pairing the IC is ...
- The Fool replied Jun 21, 2024
Bupkis....
- The Fool replied Jun 21, 2024
on 3x witch days I play these, especially when there's a shot at a big round pin. Risking only 80c and I will hold til the bitter end to see the long calls go to $0. I have an $8 tp set. They don't always work out but long spoos pretty much a gimme ...
- The Fool replied Jun 21, 2024
relentless meltup really hurt me, now I am at Jul8 5525/5550 c / 5325/5300 p. Close to be on the whole IC. If the market would flatten out for a couple weeks, I might pull out a small profit. But, I expect to be rolling again...the calls especially ...
- The Fool replied Jun 16, 2024
I made a new sign for the trade station wall "Don't trade against the trend"....jeezus I'd be better off picking up cans...
- The Fool replied Jun 14, 2024
still fighting this IC and have rolled it out to Jul01. Looking at 5450/5475 calls and 5275/5250 puts. Have lost about a buck on the last set of rolls, but still around $5.75 credit if I can ride it out. Looking for a flat market, tbh I doubt it ...
- The Fool replied Jun 9, 2024
the better chance for a big move is south, imo....will put something like this on by Monday or Tues.... image
- The Fool replied Jun 9, 2024
CPI/FOMC same day Wed 6/12...a hot CPI is the only thing that can tank the AI bull market, not counting on JPow to be anything but dovish. image
- The Fool replied Jun 7, 2024
relentless bull market. Not sure what can stop it. I will have to roll Monday, I suppose, not wanting to gamble on a dip off the CPI/FOMC. I can roll out to Jul opex @ 5475/5500 and 5200/5175 for a 50c loss +/-....probably what I will have to do. ...
- The Fool commented Jun 7, 2024
NOBODY in politics, blue, red, green, or whatever, nor any politicized CB will have the stones to do what needs to be done. Nobody at JPow's Country Club will care if the deficit keeps getting kicked down the road. But, if the stock market crashes ...
- The Fool commented Jun 7, 2024
Witness US Treasury rates up hard across the board. The Fed has not been restrictive enough and the bond vigilantes will let them know. JPow especially has grown quite dovish and we'll see if he changes that tone next Wednesday. Tuesday CPI will be ...
- The Fool replied Jun 6, 2024
took off the calls at $4.50, let the puts run. Not that I believe they have much of a chance with NFP Fri. Any kind of news is most likely going to be good news for the Goldilox market.
- The Fool commented Jun 5, 2024
Goldilocks is bulletproof.