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- kiwi_trader replied Sep 18, 2010
Peter, We got crossed up. It seems that I was responding to Dan's original exit point and you were responding to the responders point. Dan, There is sometimes confluence of channel rightmost line and trendline. When there is confluence more people ...
DanUK's Advanced Trend Trading Strategy
- kiwi_trader replied Sep 17, 2010
It would appear that in your approach to interpreting price behaviour with respect to channels you believe this to be true. That's fine although its probably at odds with the practices of most successful traders using channels as part of their trend ...
DanUK's Advanced Trend Trading Strategy
- kiwi_trader replied Sep 17, 2010
I'm sure Dan will have an answer but I'd give a few: - it shows the value of a channel vs a trendline (often trendlines break but the containing parallels contain) - it shows the value of the 50ma - often the first break of a trendline generates ...
DanUK's Advanced Trend Trading Strategy
- kiwi_trader replied Aug 25, 2010
Their statement is extremely clear: they hedge for major risk and when they think you are a winner; they are betting against you when they think you are a loser. The methods and programs they use to achieve it would be the most interesting thing - ...
Systematic trading
- kiwi_trader replied Jul 24, 2010
No. Looking at the chart it simply compares volume at time of day for one period with volume at time of day in another period. It's market profile orientated I would guess.
Please help me read this CME chart
- kiwi_trader replied Jul 21, 2010
With respect I'll call BS on that. An edge in the classical mathematical sense is actually usually the intersection of two surfaces. But in the statistical / probability of gambling sense an edge is simply a probability of profit that may be ...
What is your edge?
- kiwi_trader replied Jul 15, 2010
Actually razzle, you said: "When you do the opposite, you are also taking trades at random, and over the long run, you'll lose too because you dont have an edge either." but its not quite true. As I said in my post it will be difficult to win after ...
What is your edge?
- kiwi_trader replied Jul 15, 2010
Two things: Mirroring losing trades is hard to achieve unless you are the house. First, they're hard to figure out exactly (see second response) and second, transaction costs work against you. Edges can be very simple. One of the biggest mistakes is ...
What is your edge?
- kiwi_trader replied Jul 14, 2010
Good post Hanover, I like Bytebodger's simple approach to defining change. Another that is good is the concept of period changes. As with the turtle method when your high beats the X period high you get a probable period change. A more recent and ...
Age old debate. What is your definition of a trend?
- kiwi_trader replied Jul 12, 2010
This was in response to new users with the "I keep picking the wrong pullback so how do I get the right one" question. I would add a couple of points ( slap me down if needed Teb
TEB 5ema & 12ema and 21 RSI (MTF)) The fact is that you are likely to get wrong pullbacks as well as ...
- kiwi_trader replied Jul 10, 2010
I liked Cloggie's post. Not sure if one key item came though clearly though: Trust. If you're trading big volumes and perhaps banking big volumes you need to trust the rulers to keep your operation safe. So you want stability. You want rule of law. ...
Why is the Asian session such low volume?
- kiwi_trader replied Jun 26, 2010
The OPs choice of thread title should provide the OP with an opportunity to contemplate his or her own weaknesses.
Moving SL to BE is very wrong/noobishOn the subject of moving to BE there are some things I could suggest: - auto system tests tend to prove that it isn't optimal (at ...
- kiwi_trader replied Jun 23, 2010
Windows still wins the "most things operate on it" war. It is also very stable unless an application plays up ... so if you are disciplined it is likely to be solid. So, until you have a reason to go elsewhere (and you don't seem to have one yet) ...
Best computer Operating System for Trading?
- kiwi_trader replied Jun 23, 2010
Interesting material Dungle and food for thought. I must go back and examine some charts. Especially enjoyed the reaction to your "put 50% on these trades" and assume you were talking about total capital at your broker with some reasonable leverage ...
dungle's trading framework
- kiwi_trader replied Jun 19, 2010
Those who have said that there is more noise to signal on 5m than on daily are correct. In general noise increases relative to PA signals as timeframe falls (but not in an absolute or linear fashion). Those who have said that commission, spread and ...
Position Size vs Time Frame
- kiwi_trader replied Jun 12, 2010
I agree - timeframe as such should not determine how big you will bet. Determine position size by risk including the statistics of a typical trade on the timeframe. So you might risk 2% as standard for a long tend following system but adjust it for: ...
Position Size vs Time Frame
- kiwi_trader replied Jun 9, 2010
Apologies OND for dragging off theme on your thread in the post above. I just wanted to raise the volume issue and add the sort of things I look for in a trade (which might be a bit different from the topic of the thread). Chief, I think the issue ...
Trade Anatomy - ramblings of an old-timer
- kiwi_trader replied Jun 9, 2010
Where does Alpari's volume for XAUUSD come from? — I am still suspicious of these volume readings. Where does Alpari's gold volume come from? I look at the futures volume on gold and it is as one might expect in that situation but Alpari's is ...
Trade Anatomy - ramblings of an old-timer
- kiwi_trader replied Jun 4, 2010
Forgive me if I'm wrong damo, ond, but I believe that OND is developing a strategy based not on knowing what will happen to EU because of intermarket correlations, over-extension or reaching a particular S&R level. Unless I'm reading it wrong, OND's ...
Trade Anatomy - ramblings of an old-timer
- kiwi_trader replied Jun 4, 2010
I just got around to buying Kaufman's New Trading Systems and Methods after 10 years+ trading. I really liked it ... getting those "yeah ... he gets it" moments through the book plus some stuff I hadn't thought about before. I'd thoroughly recommend ...
On the topic of BS in trading forums...