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- 516 Results (338 Replies, 178 Comments)
- paddlepip commented Nov 6, 2015
And now the reason to delay a hike will be volatility and after effects caused by the very data they wanted to see.
Payrolls in U.S. Climb Most This Year as Jobless Rate Reaches 5%
- paddlepip commented Nov 5, 2015
Would have to still be one of the most negatively convex things to own I'd imagine. M.duration of 9.8 and m.convexity at 408(!) at settlement. Poor pensioners getting bugger all... If rates went up 1%, there goes about almost 10 years of interest ...
Auction Result of 10-Year JGBs on November 5, 2015
- paddlepip replied Nov 4, 2015
The last few weeks (on several indices), statistically speaking, have been unprecedented. Remaining short. But what do I know...
Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow
- paddlepip replied Nov 4, 2015
holding the fort.. keeping shorts
Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow
- paddlepip replied Nov 4, 2015
Gone are the days where economies drive markets. Now (well.. for some years) it appears the attempt is to drive markets to spur economies... It might not continue to work (I haven't seen an example where it has). If it does work (it appears these ...
Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow
- paddlepip replied Nov 3, 2015
Could be right there stylinex. ASX200 isn't joining the party at all. What a dog. For those interested (not related to DAX at all) here's Australia's term structure of interest rates. You can see how bond investors got yesterday's rate decision ...
Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow
- paddlepip replied Nov 3, 2015
If we do the stats, the last few weeks have been unprecedented. That goes for DAX, EUR50, S&P500 and dow etc (not asx200 interestingly enough, admittedly somewhat commodities driven.. mainly banks drive that index though). This was spurred by ...
Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow
- paddlepip replied Nov 3, 2015
I agree no doubt. One must get in early for swing trades though imho (jump in at elevated prices on low volume, and perhaps be prepared for a little heat). There was talk of Draghi saying he might consider buying stocks? (did I hear that correctly? ...
Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow
- paddlepip replied Nov 3, 2015
It has been a pretty historic run recently, so I presume the bulls will relax somewhere around here and sip their mojitos from their luxury yachts (profit taking, from lesser quality boats than islanders' of course). Shorting is looking attractive.
Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow
- paddlepip commented Nov 3, 2015
'Supervising' illegal purchasing of houses in Melb and Syd with laundered money hoping other cities will get dragged up with it I think... FIRB are asleep at the wheel.
Statement by Glenn Stevens, Governor: Monetary Policy Decision
- paddlepip commented Nov 3, 2015
All eyes on the kiwi now. Hence the large AUDNZD move... I suspect (nothing is certain) it'll head on up.
Statement by Glenn Stevens, Governor: Monetary Policy Decision
- paddlepip replied Oct 26, 2015
lol. Thanks D1. And that's it.. I'm resuming learning German so I can give you all shit
Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dowjust kidding. video
- paddlepip replied Oct 26, 2015
man.. I wish I remembered my German classes back in the day (teacher was an arsehole). Can we please keep this English because google translate only goes so far No disrespect for native tongues (in fact major respect)... Just helps the forum be on ...
Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow
- paddlepip replied Oct 26, 2015
would not surprise me. waiting for shorts personally still but the big boys are obviously banking on longs.. we await!
Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow
- paddlepip replied Oct 26, 2015
Enjoy it mate. save a beer for me!
Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow
- paddlepip commented Oct 25, 2015
And the back peddling continues.
UK rate rise not a certainty says BoE's Carney - Mail
- paddlepip replied Oct 24, 2015
It's the weekend (sunny and warm here in melbourne
Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow) so thought I'd put some not so intraday stuff up for those interested. The following are a series of 3d yield curves for German sovereign bonds up to 30yr maturity, namely Germany's term ...
- paddlepip commented Oct 22, 2015
It is aimed at a demographic that inherently are savers. Not spenders (like the younger crowd). Edit: Aging popluation, bigger voter base. I wonder if this is political.
Japan’s Yamamoto: Should Give JPY 2.5 Tln In Cash To Pensioners & Others - BGG
- paddlepip commented Oct 22, 2015
And it begins. That's about $US700 each for everyone over the age of 65 (going by the 2010 census figures). Not an extreme amount of money, but it smacks of desperation.
Japan’s Yamamoto: Should Give JPY 2.5 Tln In Cash To Pensioners & Others - BGG
- paddlepip replied Oct 20, 2015
So'd on the last trade... going again.. long from 1.0681. I expect Aus and NZ rates to converge (Aus to hold next meeting and NZ to drop) also commodities to hold steady at the least , but you never know...
AUDNZD