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- 105 Results (53 Replies, 52 Comments)
- Gregory_ commented Nov 2, 2015
"Members also observed that the outlook for inflation may afford scope for further easing of policy, should that be appropriate to lend support to demand."
Statement by Glenn Stevens, Governor: Monetary Policy Decision
- Gregory_ commented Oct 31, 2015
EURUSD broke out of a 10 month channel this week on the D1 chart. It retested the edge of that channel yesterday and bounced. The 1.10 area is a battle zone, along with the edge of that pattern. If the 1.10 area continues to hold and price stays ...
CFTC Commitment of Traders report: Euro shorts increase
- Gregory_ commented Oct 30, 2015
The DX futures contract (continuous), which represents the trade-weighted dollar, broke out of a wedge pattern this week. It tested the edge of that wedge today and bounced. I am watching this carefully, as it may mean the dollar is in the progress ...
Weak U.S. data clouds December rate hike possibility
- Gregory_ commented Oct 2, 2015
PCE instead of CPI.
Bullard: Three Challenges to Central Bank Orthodoxy
- Gregory_ commented Sep 17, 2015
13 of 17 Fed officials still expect a rate rise this year, according to projections... hmmm...
FOMC Statement
- Gregory_ commented Sep 17, 2015
It would be overly presumptuous for me to predict that the Fed will never be able to raise interest rates. Give the economy another 6 months, and it could be far worse... or far better. We will have to see. Manufacturing numbers seem to be getting ...
FOMC Statement
- Gregory_ commented Sep 17, 2015
Yeah, I was fairly heavily short bonds running up to about 2 days ago, and I fully exited after the major push up. I was expecting to reenter after the statement... but now... it sounds like they may not move for a while... like maybe even 6+ ...
FOMC Statement
- Gregory_ commented Sep 17, 2015
Projections still indicate most in the Fed believe >1% in 2016: Link to PDF with projections: url
FOMC Statement
- Gregory_ commented Sep 6, 2015
Here is the link to the FOMC calendar where you can click on their projections link (PDF) in June to see that the prediction at that time was 2-4% by 2017. url Direct link to June projections: url It will be very interesting to see what the ...
Lacker: The Case Against Further Delay
- Gregory_ commented Sep 6, 2015
Many people seem to be nearly exhausted from talking interest rates. After the Fed raises, the hype will only continue. We will be talking about Fed interest rate hikes for years to come, if the Federal Funds Dot Matrix is any loose guide.
Lacker: The Case Against Further Delay
- Gregory_ commented Sep 4, 2015
According to 3 news outlets, he does vote.
Lacker: The Case Against Further Delay
- Gregory_ commented Sep 1, 2015
USD strengthens when assets sell off. The "bad news" was still an expansion. Therefore, it probably is having little effect.
August 2015 Manufacturing ISM Report On Business
- Gregory_ commented Sep 1, 2015
"My popularity, my happiness and sense of worth depend to no small extent upon my skill in dealing with people." Dale Carnegie
Minecraft billionaire complains about being rich
- Gregory_ commented Aug 20, 2015
Limited weakness possible in the dollar, as positions are stacked in that direction right now. Otherwise, we would see higher than 36% chance here. A hike in September is now a surprise. If it does occur, expect to see a much stronger move to the ...
So Long September: Bond Traders Defer Their Date With the Fed
- Gregory_ commented Aug 12, 2015
Last I checked, 2015 is what Dudley was referring to when he said: "'I am not going to tell you when' we raise rates, he told the audience, 'but we are certainly getting nearer to that point.'" From Wall Street Journal: url
Fed's Dudley Q&A: What happens in China has huge implications
- Gregory_ commented Jul 1, 2015
The letter everyone is talking about is dated 6/30. That is yesterday's old news.
Tsipras prepared to accept all bailout conditions - reports
- Gregory_ commented Apr 8, 2015
At the end, "... they generally saw the new language as providing the Committee with the flexibility to begin raising the target range for the federal funds rate in June or at a subsequent meeting."
Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee
- Gregory_ commented Apr 8, 2015
Huge section on normalization.
Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee
- Gregory_ commented Apr 6, 2015
Here is a key reason: consensus is an expected correction.
Big stop run in EURUSD down to 1.0925