Warning: A Dangerous Subversive: 1% of comments CoCed
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Pondering the Stunning Growth In Fed Rate Hike Bets and Predictions
Every day the CME Fedwatch posts rate hike odds based on trader positioning in Fed funds futures. The blue numbers represent the number of quarter-point hikes the market thinks is coming by the conclusion of the December 14 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Cumulative Sum of Rate Hike Probabilities 0: 0 Percent 1: 0.1 Percent 2: 2.2 Percent 3: 13.1 Percent 4: 39.4 Percent 5: 72.2% Percent 6: 93.3 Percent 7: 99.4 Percent 8: 99.9 Percent Market participants are pricing in between 4 and 5 hikes with 5 hikes more likely than 4. FOMC Meeting Dates March 16 May 4 June 15 July 27 September 21 November 2 December ... (full story)
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- Jan 30, 2022 9:04am Jan 30, 2022 9:04am
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RossEdwards
- Joined Jun 2019 | Status: Member | 3299 Comments
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- Jan 30, 2022 3:43pm Jan 30, 2022 3:43pm
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UKBanter
- | Joined Mar 2017 | Status: Member | 938 Comments
The elites think we are stupid. They are in the main quite correct.