PVSRA
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The Really Useless System 25 replies
Bloomberg: VIX Indicator useless for forecasting the direction of equity prices 0 replies
The Really Really Boring Forex System 97 replies
DislikedAs expected week ended after the opening range ... More importantly and key highlight of the day/week, real money spotted running to cover in Treasuries and Bund. We have a couple of them in the last years already, all ended up in the same. Bonds breaking correlation and positioning in quiet times, something big is cooking in the background. 'Forewarned is forearmed'. On the FX board, Euro triggering the traditional ST 'choose your poison time' for the close. Not much to see or do here but same levels, same trades, same all.... sisse {quote} Try...Ignored
==> Doesn't matter how you pull the trigger. If you are in the right side, you will get a winner with more or less risk but a winner at the end.
==> Job for a trader is minimise risk first, second and third and only then maximise gains.
==> Smart money (and one should aim for that) position in calm water, newbies and soft money on the rush of the move already flying away....
==> If you are sharp enough with your price TA skills you will have an advantage over most of any other indicator trading for swinging. Some basic ideas we have discussed over the year: Imminent breaks, momentum play, simple price based entries, simple price fade entries and 'choose your poison time'
So now to @Pharm0r:
MT outlook sell.
ST outlook neutral.
@ the top of the range
should I chewed down even further ? or you are aiming to start a classical FF Friday conversation in which on top of everything I am posting for free here I need to send you a live memo with my exact positions and every time I place an order ... I don't think so, i know you are not one of the A$$$% around here so lets better raise the conversation to somewhere more useful.
sisse
Disliked... From your points: -> What is the expectation for ECB according to you? -> What is the expectation for FED according to you? -> Which come first in the calendar? ...we'll continue upon your answers.... sisseIgnored
Disliked{quote} -> What is the expectation for ECB according to you? June 8, we have ECB Meeting as well as UK Election day.Ignored
Disliked{quote} Expectations for June ECB are for beginning of end to QE...Ignored
DislikedQuoting Sisse" So with that in mind, what do you think will weight more in the ST (after any knee jerk reaction on air on the announcement) the hike or end of QE? What about for the mid term, what would prime? In the ST, End of QE will win the battle, in particular if you consider Trump risk. EUR* is the new haven. If both pan out in expectations (or flop for that matter) how do you think the volatility in the ST and MT legs would be sharp and short-lived, bumpy and long-lived. wide, or we will go to sleep in comatose moves for months? - If both...Ignored
DislikedMarkets trade expectations first, facts later. The money is trading with the direction of expected value, whatever the instrument or market.Ignored
DislikedNope- no frustrations here pal, I'm just poking fun at you to see if you'd answer....got to admit, I was just seeing if you'd say "I'm short". I'm short 1.1010 and 1.0939Ignored
Disliked{quote}If you're lucky: there does not have to be any consensus as to what expectations are. If you see markets moving sideways, that's why. (Note US equities in a tight range since about a few weeks after the DJT inauguration, ie since mid-Feb.) I think hft exacerbates range-bound trading - if most of the volume is super st trades that only take a tick or two of profit, it's hard for any momentum to build into a trending move.Ignored
Disliked{quote} What if I take the other side just for the sake of the argument and two give you my final two cents.... sisse {quote} ... sisse
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Disliked{quote} My stop loss is 500 pips, is yours?https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jmcVODW1p0I
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Disliked{quote} My stop loss is 500 pips, is yours?https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jmcVODW1p0I
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