how can anybody answer that question if we dont know your system?
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Why I can't backtest before Nov 2015 in FxPro Live? 3 replies
Visual backtest result different from non-visual backtest 0 replies
Why Paper Trading Is Counter Productive 6 replies
Nice indicator , nice profits , nice system 8 replies
Will a backtest fail if a trade will blow my account? 10 replies
DislikedI would be surprised if a general answer to your general question would be valid for every method of trading.......in my opinion different systems have different ways to avoid or lessen the pitfalls of trading that system; there is no 1 solution.......Ignored
DislikedNew update. Just add to MyFxBook, so far so good {image} http://www.myfxbook.com/members/FxFr...r-five/8101202Ignored
DislikedHi, Long time out here and out Forex. Now I'm back, just for fun. We all know most of EA, paper or visual baktests tend to fail in the future. Now I have one of the hundreds of strategies that I have thought: 3,5 year paper Backtest, more than 2000 trades: 6 losses (20% each) 14 wins (11% each) 20 wins ( 6% each) 22 wins ( 3% each) 52 wins ( 1,5% each) 151 wins ( 0,5% each) 1875 wins ( 0,1% each) My question is, Why this stratetegy will be loss in the future and how to fixed? Thanks for readIgnored
Disliked{quote} Looks nice. But the win of over 13% on March 17 kinda worries me. That bet on the FOMC is quite risky IMO.Ignored
Disliked{quote} Strategy properties: - Martin-gale strategy. - Risking 0.4% more or less in the first trade. - Trailing stop also in percentage terms. - Possible entry logic: after some determined price speed. (It will take me some time to get into a final conclussion.) Otherwise, some 1 minute logic. I guess you are looking for someone who tells you: because of the martin-gale logic. How to fixed it? You are kidding!Ignored
Disliked{quote} Thanks for your reply Paul! Strategy properties: - Martin-gale strategy. Not exactly - Risking 0.4% more or less in the first trade. No - Trailing stop also in percentage terms. No - Possible entry logic: after some determined price speed. (It will take me some time to get into a final conclussion.) Otherwise, some 1 minute logic. No I appreciate a lot u take the time to review the trades in myfxbook, I'm sure u will get better conclusions with more trades in the future, maybe, if the strategy doesn't go bankrupt hahahahaIgnored
Disliked{quote}You know that what will kill your startegy is how agressively it increases the trading volume every time you get a loss trade. Some call it martin-gale, if you don't want it to call it that way because there is a more advanced logic behind that, then good. But I guess you are after that problem.Ignored
DislikedMartin-gale strategy. Not exactly. Of course it is. Call it whatever you want. Again, not exactly - Risking 0.4% more or less in the first trade. No. All first trades closed at around 0.4 unless there was a chance to trail. No, the risk vary a lot at every trade and/or phase of the strategy, remember that the stratagy have 3 main phases - Trailing stop also in percentage terms. No. Maybe the percentage part is wrong, but you are trailing for sure. No trailing stop, maybe u say that because u see different pip amounts or becouse sometimes the trade...Ignored
Dislikeda common cause for all strategies to fail is that market behaviour becomes different from what the system is designed for..... if the change is becoming persistent, one might have to stop trading the system, until the favourable behaviour returns....there could be a need to adapt to the changing circumstances.......for instance for trend trading you need directional volatility and if that falls away, you will get whipsawed all the time.....so it might be time for the range trading strategy etc etc......Ignored
Disliked... “Why this stratetegy will be loss in the future and how to fixed?” ...Ignored
Dislikeddont think you can adapt a system that much, so that it will survive in all market conditions.....assume you`ll have to stop trading it on a real account and maybe continue on a demo account, until the system is in profit again for some time...... I remember I was into trading the first 4H breakout of the new week in G/J years ago and the first 6-7 months were great and then it was not so great..... I dont have experience in running a lot of strategies and I can only wonder if you really need 20 to be successful......
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Disliked{quote} The only way to prevent a winning strategy from losing in the future is to identify its pre-market condition and only play it during the same condition ... (this process of identification can’t be automated, so you need to run your EA manually)Ignored
Disliked{quote} Yes, but this is not easy, cristal ball is needed for that, haha You can identify a slow range market and in one second chage to a big long tren, or you can see a big trend and the market stop quickly and start slow rangeIgnored